Economic News For December 21, 2009

  • Regulators on Friday shut down two big California banks, as well as banks in Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Michigan and Illinois, bringing to 140 the number of U.S. banks brought down this year by the weak economy and mounting loan defaults.  The 140 bank failures are the most in a year since 1992 at the height of the savings-and-loan crisis. They have cost the government-backed deposit insurance fund — which has fallen into the red — more than $30 billion so far this year. The failures compare with 25 last year and three in 2007.

 

  • The gap between yields on Treasuries and so-called TIPS due in 10 years, a measure of the outlook for consumer prices, closed above 2.25 percentage points four days last week, the longest stretch since August 2008. That’s the low end of the range in the five years before Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. collapsed, and shows traders expect inflation, not deflation in coming months, said Jay Moskowitz, head of TIPS trading at CRT Capital Group LLC in Stamford, Connecticut.

 

  • The economy is still flat at best.  The Commerce Department reported seasonally adjusted November retail sales up 1.3% from October. However, if you apply the average seasonal adjustments that were used during the years 2006 and 2007, which account for a normal spike in November sales due to the holiday shopping season, retail sales were actually down 1.3% in November.

 

  • Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said in prepared testimony the threat to U.S. fiscal stability is larger than ever.  Averting a situation where the U.S. struggles to finance unprecedented budget deficits “is more urgent than at any time in our history,” he said in testimony Thursday before the Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs.

 

  • Zhu Min, Deputy Governor of the Chinese Central Bank, issued comments at an economic forum in Beijing yesterday in which he stated that the U.S. dollar is set up to go lower and that foreign buyers will become a lot more reluctant to buy more U.S. Treasury bonds:  “When the U.S. has to fund its deficit through the combination of issuing more Treasuries and printing more dollars, it is inevitable that the dollar will continue to weaken.”

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