October 22nd, 2009
- The Richard Russell choice — to make real money you must take a BIG position in the market. Gold has outperformed the Dow for many years. I prefer to go with relative strength. You can’t be in everything. I’ve picked gold.
- “Peter Bernholz (Professor Economics in Basel) studied the world’s 12 most important periods of hyperinflation and discovered that the tipping point occurs when deficits amounted to 40% of the expenditures. For the United States we have arrived at exactly that point. The deficit of $1.5 trillion amounts to 41.7% of the $3.6 trillion in expenses.”
Tags: gold, hyperinflation, Richard Russell
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September 25th, 2009
The US is too dependent on Japan and China buying up the country’s debt and could face severe economic problems if that stops, Tiger Management founder and chairman Julian Robertson told CNBC.
“It’s almost Armageddon if the Japanese and Chinese don’t buy our debt,” Robertson said in an interview. “I don’t know where we could get the money. I think we’ve let ourselves get in a terrible situation and I think we ought to try and get out of it.”
Robertson said inflation is a big risk if foreign countries were to stop buying bonds.
“If the Chinese and Japanese stop buying our bonds, we could easily see [inflation] go to 15 to 20 percent,” he said. “It’s not a question of the economy. It’s a question of who will lend us the money if they don’t. Imagine us getting ourselves in a situation where we’re totally dependent on those two countries. It’s crazy.”
“We’re in for some real rough sledding,” he said. “ I really do think the recession is at least temporarily over. But we haven’t addressed so many of our problems and we are borrowing so much money that we can’t possibly pay it back, unless the Chinese and Japanese buy our bonds.”
Tags: China, inflation, Japan
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